Monday, April 24, 2017
What’s going on and why does it matter?
Mortgage bonds opened lower this morning amidst a sell-off in the global bond market. The results of the first round of the French Presidential elections came in, and barring a surprise in the run-off election on May 7, it appears that Emmanuel Macron is likely to win the French Presidency. This means that a crisis in the European Union economic structure is likely averted because Macron is seen as a centrist and euro-friendly candidate. Stock markets are breathing a sigh of relief, while bond prices are giving back some of their recent gains as investors unwind their “flight to quality” trades. It will be interesting to see if mortgage bond prices can hold above their 30-day and 100-day moving averages. The Fed is scheduled to purchase up to $2.05 billion of 30-year and 15-year conventional mortgage bonds today, so that may help to stabilize bond prices. There are no major economic reports scheduled for release today, but the economic calendar gets bu sier later in the week.
What should you do about it?
Lock your rate to be safe.
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Economic reports that may impact mortgage rates this week:
Date |
Report |
Period |
Prior |
Estimate |
Actual |
Tue
25 Apr |
Consumer
Confidence |
Apr |
125.6 |
122.9 |
|
Tue
25 Apr |
New Home
Sales |
Mar |
590,000 |
590,000 |
|
Thu
27 Apr |
Durable
Goods |
Mar |
1.7% |
1.2% |
|
Thu
27 Apr |
Initial Jobless
Claims |
Week of
Apr 17 |
244,000 |
242,000 |
|
Thu
27 Apr |
Pending
Home Sales |
Mar |
5.5% |
-1.0% |
|
Fri
28 Apr |
GDP |
Q1
2017 |
1.9% |
1.1% |
|
Fri
28 Apr |
Core PCE
Prices |
Q1
2017 |
1.3% |
2.0% |
|
Fri
28 Apr |
Chicago
PMI |
Apr |
57.7 |
56.5 |
|
Fri
28 Apr |
U of Mich
Consumer
Sentiment |
Apr |
96.9 |
98.0 |
|
|