interest rates

RATE WATCHERS REPORT: January 30th 2017

Monday, January 30, 2017

What’s going on and why does it matter?
This is a big week for the market with the Federal Reserve monetary policy statement scheduled for Wednesday, and the closely watched non-farm payrolls report scheduled for Friday. The market is not anticipating another rate hike from the Fed on Wednesday. However, investors will be picking apart every word from the Fed’s monetary policy statement and Fed Chair Yellen’s press conference in search for clues about the Fed’s future bond buying plans. In the meantime, the Fed is scheduled to purchase up to $1.9 billion in GNMA and 15-year conventional mortgage bonds today, and another $1.625 billion in 30-year conventional mortgage bonds tomorrow. Mortgage bonds may make a run up to test their 30-day and 10-day moving averages, which have been operating as technical ceilings of resistance.

What should you do about it?
Lock your rate as long as mortgage bonds continue to trade below their 30-day and 10-day moving averages.

Economic Calendar

Economic reports that may impact mortgage rates this week:

Date Report Period Prior Estimate Actual
Mon
30 Jan
Personal
Income
Dec +0.1% +0.4% +0.3%
Mon
30 Jan
Core PCE
Prices
Dec 0.0% +0.1% +0.1%
Mon
30 Jan
Pending
Home Sales
Dec -2.5% +1.1% +1.6%
Tue
31 Jan
Chicago
PMI
Jan 53.9 55.0
Tue
31 Jan
Consumer
Confidence
Jan 113.7 113.0
Wed
1 Feb
ADP National
Employment
Jan 153,000 165,000
Wed
1 Feb
Construction
Spending
Dec +0.9% +0.2%
Wed
1 Feb
ISM Mfg.
PMI
Jan 54.7 55.0
Wed
1 Feb
Fed Funds
Rate
0.75% 0.75%  
Wed
1 Feb
Total Vehicle
Sales
Jan 18.43M 17.55M
Thu
2 Feb
Initial Jobless
Claims
Week of
Jan 22
259,000 250,000
Fri
3 Feb
Non-Farm
Payrolls
Jan 156,000 175,000  
Fri
3 Feb
Average
Earnings
Jan +0.4% +0.3%
Fri
3 Feb
Factory
Orders
Dec -2.4% +0.9%

Scott Shenton

Scott Shenton
NMLS Number: 1039731
Apex Home Loans
Corporate NMLS Number: 2884
sshenton@apexhomeloans.com
https://www.apexhomeloans.com/scottshenton
(240) 268-3156
3204 Tower Oaks Blvd, Suite 400
Rockville, Maryland 20852

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Apex Home Loans, Inc. NMLS #2884. For more information, please reference the NMLS Consumer Access Website at http://nmlsconsumeraccess.org. Licensed by: DE as a Lender by the Office of the State Bank Commissioner (011603); DC as a Dual Authority Mortgage Lender by the Department of Insurance, Securities and Banking (MLB2884); FL as a Mortgage Lender by the FL Office of Financial Regulation (MLD1088); MD as a Mortgage Lender by the Dept. of Labor, Licensing & Regulation (06-4989); N.J. Department of Banking and Insurance (2884); PA as a Mortgage Lender by the Dept. of Banking & Securities (45078); VA as a Lender and Broker by the State Bank Commissioner (MC1278); and WV as a Mortgage Lender by the WV Division of Financial Institutions (ML-34657).